Japan's agency R&I upgrades India's sovereign credit rating

NEW DELHI: Japanese credit rating agency Rating and Investment Information (R&I) on Friday upgraded India's long-term sovereign credit rating to 'BBB+' from 'BBB' and retained the "stable" outlook, citing growth prospects, progress on fiscal consolidation, and reforms undertaken by govt. This is the third upgrade by a sovereign credit rating agency this year, following S&P's upgrade to 'BBB' (from BBB-) in Aug and Morningstar DBRS' upgrade to 'BBB' (from BBB (low)) in May 2025.

R&I said the impact of the tariffs imposed by US on India's economy will be limited. "The US has raised its tariff rate on India to 50%. While this may pose a risk factor for economic outlook, India's economy is mainly driven by domestic factors and its dependence on exports to the US is not high," the ratings agency said in a statement, adding that GST rate reduction, which will kick in from Sept 22, would help minimise the impact.

The agency said the economy will maintain the growth rate in mid-6% range from FY26 onwards, backed by population growth, the catch-up effect of income and govt's public investment and economic policy, among other factors.

The govt welcomed the decision by the ratings agency. "Three credit rating upgrades for India in five months reflect increasing global recognition for India's robust and resilient macroeconomic fundamentals and prudent fiscal management and underscore global confidence in India's medium-term growth prospects amid prevailing global uncertainties," said an official statement.

The rating agency said govt is striving to reduce the fiscal deficit, which narrowed to 4.8% of GDP in FY24. "While govt has been increasing capital expenditures, it managed to reduce the fiscal deficit, thanks to the tax revenue increase backed by strong domestic demand as well as the cut of subsidies," said R&I.