Times Now-India TV-C Voter opinion poll predicted a win for LDF in the Kerala elections. The UDF may end up with 53 seats (vote share 41.3%) while LDF is set to gain 86 seats with a vote share of 43.8%. BJP may win one seat with a vote share of 9.7%. The survey, however, pointed to the trend of both LDF and NDA losing their vote share in the new round from an earlier high of 44.6% and 11.4 respectively, bolstering the fortunes of UDF.
Kerala will keep up its tradition of swapping the left and right fronts every five years, says the Times Now-India TV-C Voter opinion poll. The opposition LDF is set to stage a comeback by winning 86 seats, while the UDF will be restricted to 53 seats. The survey has also predicted a seat for the BJP .
The survey predicts 43.8% vote share for the LDF , 41% for the UDF and 10% vote share for the BJP . It had used a random stratified sample of 42,036 interviews covering all assembly segments in the poll-bound states. In Kerala, 5,869 voters were surveyed in the first and fourth weeks of March.
The findings of all major criteria varied only marginally on both occasions. While 52.7% were satisfied with the perform ance of the incumbent government, 45% were not satisfied.While 53.1% were satisfied with the performance of chief minister Oommen Chandy , 43.3% were not at all satisfied. 3.7% went for can't saydon't know option. Opposition leader V S Achuthanandan's performance satisfied 63.2% as against 26.6% who were not at all satisfied. An interesting finding was that the anti-incumbency factor against MLAs was negligible-77.3% were happy with the performance of their MLAs against 13.9% not at all satisfied and 8.7% who didn't want to comment. Around 40% believed that their living standard remained the same in the past one year while 30% felt there was some improvement and 27.6% found a deterioration.However, 65.3% hoped it will improve in the next one year.
A whopping 69.8% were undecided on whom to blame for the governance issues that they faced while 19.2% put the blame on the state government, 6.2% on the Centre and 4.9% on the civic bodies.