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The UAE’s exit from OPEC and OPEC+ is set to reshape global oil dynamics, with the country aiming to boost production outside cartel limits. Increased supply from a low-cost producer like the UAE could ease global oil prices, offering relief to major importers like India through lower costs and reduced inflation. However, geopolitical tensions, particularly around the Strait of Hormuz, continue to threaten smooth supply, keeping markets volatile in the short term. The move also highlights widening differences within OPEC, especially with Saudi Arabia, weakening the group’s collective influence and pushing the oil market towards greater competition and less coordinated control over production and pricing.