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Tamil Nadu: Kejriwal Breakthrough Or Prashant Kishor-Like Setback — What Will It Be For Vijay?

| Apr 30, 2026, 10:30:26 PM | TOI.in
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Exit poll projections for Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) have sparked major political debate ahead of the 2026 Tamil Nadu Assembly elections, with focus on the electoral debut of Vijay. Most surveys, including P-Marq and Matrize, project TVK winning around 10–12 seats, while Peoples Pulse estimates 18–24 seats, suggesting limited but notable entry and possible vote splitting role. In contrast, Axis MyIndia projects a strong surge of 98–120 seats, placing Vijay in a potentially game-changing position in state politics. Analysts are comparing this scenario to Arvind Kejriwal’s breakthrough in Delhi and Prashant Kishor’s unsuccessful political entry in Bihar. The final outcome will determine whether TVK becomes a major political force or remains a disruptive third front influencing vote shares without directly forming government.

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