sbi research

Gold import duty has been raised to 15%, a move expected to increase domestic prices and alter trade patterns. sbi research reports that past duty hikes have widened the gap between international and domestic prices, potentially diverting supply to informal channels. Import values have risen while volumes have fallen, indicating price-driven import growth.

The government increased fuel prices by Rs 3 per litre to support oil marketing companies facing losses due to high global crude oil prices and a weakening rupee. However, further rupee depreciation could negate these gains, with companies incurring significant daily losses. The price hike offers limited relief, covering only a fraction of projected losses.

Despite global economic headwinds from Middle East turmoil, India's economy is projected for stable growth through FY26 and FY27, with SBI forecasting around 7.5% for FY26. Resilient domestic demand, strong credit expansion, and broad-based improvements in high-frequency indicators support this optimistic outlook, though external vulnerabilities like oil prices and currency movements remain key concerns.

Fuel prices in India saw their first hike in four years, with petrol and diesel increasing by Rs 3. This move aims to alleviate significant daily losses incurred by oil marketing companies, estimated at Rs 1,000 crore. While consumer inflation may see a slight uptick, the fiscal impact is considered minimal, with annual consumption expected to recover.

Indian equity benchmarks Sensex and Nifty closed lower on Tuesday after a late sell-off in heavyweight stocks like HDFC Bank and Reliance Industries erased early gains. Concerns over the rupee hitting a fresh record low and elevated crude oil prices also weighed on investor sentiment, though IT stocks provided some support.

Stock market recommendations: Bharti Airtel, and Kirloskar Oil Engines are the top stocks that Sudeep Shah, Head - Technical Research and Derivatives, SBI Securities recommends buying for this week (starting May 18, 2026). The analyst also shares his views on Nifty and Bank Nifty:

In a decade, India built the world’s largest population-scale real-time payments system. It changed not just banking, but behaviour itself

Indian equity markets experienced a downturn Friday, with both Sensex and Nifty closing lower. Renewed military tensions near the Strait of Hormuz dampened investor sentiment, leading to profit-booking across various sectors. While IT stocks showed resilience, PSU banks were significantly impacted. Global markets also reflected cautious sentiment.

Stock market recommendations: Sudeep Shah, Head - Technical Research and Derivatives at SBI Securities has recommended Yatharth Hospital & Trauma Care Services Ltd, and Gujarat Ambuja Exports Ltd as the top stock recommendations for the week.

The India Meteorological Department has forecast the possibility of El Nino conditions during the South West monsoon season. Economists and experts note that a weak monsoon will add to the woes caused by higher crude oil prices, and fertilizer supply disruptions.

Stock market recommendations: Aster DM Healthcare, and GE Vernova T&D India have been picked by Sudeep Shah, Head - Technical Research and Derivatives, SBI Securities as the top stocks to buy this week (starting April 27, 2026). Views on Nifty and Bank Nifty have also been shared.

India's economy shows resilience amidst global turmoil. sbi research projects strong GDP growth between 6.8% and 7.1% for FY27. The nation navigates oil shocks from a position of strength. Domestic fundamentals provide a buffer. Potential risks like Super El Nino are noted. Inflation is expected at 4.5% with fiscal deficit around 4.5-4.6%.

Stock market recommendations: Grasim, State Bank of India (SBI), and Navin Fluorine International Limited have been picked by Somil Mehta, Head of Retail Research, Mirae Asset ShareKhan as the top stock recommendations on April 21, 2026.